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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.The EUR/USD of the euro against the US dollar rose by 0.50% in the day and is now reported at 1.0518.Boosting consumption will be the top priority of economic work. Among the nine key tasks of economic work next year, "vigorously boosting consumption, improving investment efficiency and expanding domestic demand in all directions" ranks first. Among them, "consumption" has been placed in a more important position. The Central Economic Work Conference pointed out that it is necessary to grasp key links to complete the key tasks of economic work next year, and focus on boosting domestic demand, especially consumer demand. Zhao Bo, an associate professor of economics in the National Development Research Institute of Peking University, pointed out that since the Third Plenary Session of the Eleventh Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, the proportion of China's household consumption in GDP has experienced a short-term rise and a continuous decline, and rebounded around 2009, and it is currently maintained at around 40%. Zhou Qingjie, a professor at the School of Economics of Beijing Technology and Business University, said in the article "Paying attention to the key role of household consumption in expanding domestic demand" that according to the internationally accepted national economic accounting system, household consumption is one of the "four pillars" in GDP, alongside domestic private total investment, government purchase, public investment and net export. From the international comparison, the proportion of Chinese residents' consumption in GDP is at a relatively low level. Therefore, in the process of building a new development pattern in China, the effective practice of expanding domestic demand strategy depends more on the "internal" efforts of residents' departments, so that residents can spend money, rest assured and freely. (Securities Times)

Dow opened up 0.1%, S&P 500 rose 0.3%, Nasdaq rose 0.5%, Broadcom rose 18.7%, and Q4 AI revenue increased 220% year-on-year. Furniture retailer RH rose 15.8% and raised its performance forecast. EVgo rose by 9.0% and was supported by a loan of $1.25 billion from the US Department of Energy. Xpeng Motors fell 3.8% and was downgraded to "sell" by UBS.State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC): Actively expand effective investment, improve investment efficiency, and focus on the layout of a number of major projects with strong traction and long-term benefits. The Party Committee of the State Council SASAC held a special meeting. The meeting stressed that it is necessary to promote central enterprises to improve their ability to cope with cyclical fluctuations, continue to exert efforts in performance appraisal, quality improvement and efficiency improvement, and economic operation, and strive to simultaneously improve efficiency and efficiency indicators, and strive to achieve development with stronger scientific and technological attributes and greater driving role; Actively expand effective investment, improve investment efficiency, focus on "two" and "two new" layout of a number of major projects with strong traction and long-term benefits; We will do a better job in helping small and medium-sized enterprises, promote central enterprises to deepen strategic cooperation in the industrial chain, take the lead in paying off debts owed by private enterprises, and go all out to stabilize employment, supply and flow, so as to better help the national economy continue to pick up. It is necessary to promote the central enterprises to improve the supply capacity of common technologies, further highlight the key points and strengthen the key core technologies, especially in areas with large investment and long cycle; Further highlight the original innovation, explore and create a "policy enclave", strengthen the applied basic research, and deeply root the "root technology"; Further highlight the transformation of achievements, promote the construction of a number of major pilot projects by central enterprises, and constantly open up the "last mile" of the transformation of scientific and technological achievements into real productive forces, so as to better help high-level science and technology stand on its own feet. (SASAC)Hokkaido, Japan will levy accommodation tax from 2026, and it is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach 4.5 billion yen. On December 12, the plenary session of Hokkaido Parliament of Japan passed a regulation to levy accommodation tax on tourists staying in hotels and hotels in Daodao, which is expected to be implemented from April 2026. The accommodation fee per person per night is 500 yen if it is above 50,000 yen (about 2,380 yuan), 200 yen if it is between 20,000 and 50,000 yen, and 100 yen if it is below 20,000 yen. It is estimated that the annual tax revenue will reach about 4.5 billion yen, which will be used for transportation infrastructure construction and "excessive tourism" (tourism pollution) countermeasures.

Guterres: Syria's credible, orderly and inclusive transitional arrangements must be supported. On December 12, local time, UN Secretary-General Guterres issued a statement through a spokesman, expressing deep concern about the recent extensive violations of Syria's sovereignty and territorial integrity. The statement specifically mentioned hundreds of air strikes by Israel against Syria, and said that there is an urgent need to alleviate violence in all aspects of Syria. Guterres said that the 1974 Disengagement of Forces Agreement is still valid, and he condemned all actions inconsistent with the Agreement and called on the parties to the Agreement to fulfill their obligations, including ending all unauthorized presence in the separation zone. The statement stressed that while maintaining public order, it is necessary to support Syria's credible, orderly and inclusive transitional arrangements.Trump said that he would use aid to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to sit at the negotiating table. US President-elect Donald Trump said that he would use US support to Ukraine as a bargaining chip to force Russia to end the conflict through negotiations.Market news: Trump team seeks to integrate or cancel banking regulators.